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Mike Meyer's avatar

This is an excellent update but, as noted in comments, unsupportable population cannot be ignored. These are hyper problems that are entangled in nonlinear complexity. Too many countervailing variables.

Our archaic political processes are now almost always backward worsening a very bad situation; e.g., pushing to increase population to maintain the workforce and production growth.

And you are using the old time scale. I think the faster and worse results are now most likely. That means tipping points to scattered chaos in the next five years with two billion + deaths (humans alone) by 2040. This will produce major ungoverned areas, primarily in equatorial regions but also in some unlucky temperate areas.

You are thoughtfully correct but the devil is in the details.

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Lindsay Waite's avatar

I wish your voice was heard everywhere. It's frightening how much people who should care - and can do something about it - don't.

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